Page 18 - Venture - State of the Market 2019
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What would your advice be                                  What real estate asset                              What has been your
                                                         on investing in real estate in                             classes would you                                   experience in the real
                                                         2019?                                                      recommend avoiding in                               estate market in the past
                                                                                                                    2019?                                               3-5 years?
                                                            Great terms cannot overcome a poor loca-
                                                            tion.                                                      I think the four main classes are all good          I am a mortgage broker so I deal mainly with
                                                                                                                       depending on the deal.                              investments and home buyers.
                                                            My recommendation is to be a little bit more
                                                            cautious.                                                  Retail… Retail… Retail…                             Frenzied activity and incredibly strong
                                                                                                                                                                           growth breeds poor decision-making and a
                                                            Look for good deals, don’t chase!                          Short term lease spaces.                            low bar for success entry. We’ve observed
                                                                                                                                                                           individuals who’ve seen success despite
                                                                                                                                                                           poor decision-making.
                                                            Wait and see, there may be some shifting,
                                                            motivated sellers etc.                                                                                         That it’s been a good return on investment.
                                                                                                                    What areas/neighborhoods
                                                            The Eastside appears to be a focus for our              in the Greater Seattle Area                            HOT! Seen some great results in both busi-
                                                            clients, whereas a couple of years ago it was                                                                  ness and personal investments.
                                                            South Lake Union and downtown Seattle.                  would you invest in during
                                                                                                                    the upcoming year?                                     Steady rent growth and escalating prices.
                                                            Invest now! It’s a great time to grow your
                                                            wealth over the next couple of years. Once                 Capitol Hill, West Seattle and Ballard.             It is undergone a large expansion.
                                                            we come out of the foreseeable recession,
                                                            your money will grow exponentially.                                                                            Excellent! Been very blessed to have had a
                                                                                                                       Tacoma, Everett and hot spots!                      great few years.
                                                            Inflated, hard to find positives…
                                                                                                                       Bellevue, Redmond and definitely
                                                                                                                       Issaquah.
                                                            Be careful leveraging up too high and                                                                       Do you foresee a correction in the
                                                            relying and continued cap rate                             Georgetown.                                      market in the next 3-5 years? If
                                                            compression to increase value on low                                                                        so, how do you think the market
                                                            margin transactions - keep a look out for                  With the buildup of the new light rail I’d r
                                                            the good opportunities and be prepared to                  ecommend investing in something close            will be affected? Please provide
                                                            move fast as they will have lots of                        to mass transit. People will be willing to pay   details.
                                                            competition.
                                                                                                                       more if they have to drive less.
                                                                                                                                                                           I don’t have a crystal ball, but the cycle can’t
                                                                                                                       Fremont, Wallingford, Queen Anne.                   go on forever…
                                                         What real estate asset
                                                         classes would you                                                                                                 Correction is happening now and will
                                                                                                                                                                           continue for 18-24 months. Flat apartment
                                                         recommend in 2019?                                         What areas/neighborhoods                               rental prices and slightly higher CAP rates.
                                                                                                                    in the Greater Seattle Area                            Flat, maybe a dip then roaring into the next
                                                           Apartments and single family homes                       would you avoid                                        cycle.
                                                           purchased at the right price are still my pre-           investing in during the
                                                           ferred investments.                                                                                             Probably, but not sure how sharp.
                                                                                                                    upcoming year?
                                                           I’d recommend investing in Storage! With so                                                                     Yes, of course. We anticipate a reduction
                                                           many people moving into apartments and                      Lake City, U-District.                              the developers who have the financing to
                                                           downsizing in space, they need a place to                                                                       move projects forward as construction costs
                                                           put all stuff…one thing people have a hard                  South Lake Union all the way. Highly                and available workforce become further
                                                           getting rid of is STUFF!                                    caution that area.                                  strained.
                                                                                                                                                                           I think there will be a recession. But it will
                                                           Apartments. People are wanting to                           South Lake Union and Pioneer Square.                not be a big one.
                                                           downsize.
                                                                                                                       South Lake Union…                                   The market tends to correct itself every so
                                                           Stick to fundamental plays, Not a time to take                                                                  often. I predict a self correction is on
                                                           big risks.                                                                                                      its way.
        16     VENTURE  |  2019 STATE OF THE MARKET                                                                                                                               VENTURE  |  2019 STATE OF THE MARKET     17
                                                                                                                                                                                  VENTURE  |  2019 STATE OF THE MARKET     17
        16     VENTURE  |  2019 STATE OF THE MARKET
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